Zillow Lets an AI Decide What Homes Are Worth. Algorithm Overpays for Thousands of Houses in Hot Markets. $881M Writedown, 25% Layoff, 'Zillow Offers' Shut Down. CEO: 'We Can't Forecast Home Prices.'

In late 2021, Zillow's 'Offers' arm — which used machine-learning 'Zestimates' to iBuy homes sight-unseen at algorithmically-set prices — had accumulated thousands of houses it had overpaid for as the model failed to keep up with a whipsawing pandemic real-estate market. On November 2, 2021, CEO Rich Barton shuttered the entire iBuying program, announced a $881 million inventory writedown, and laid off 25% of Zillow's workforce. Internal docs later showed Zillow was losing an average of $25,000 per flipped home. Barton's memo admitted 'we've been unable to accurately forecast future home prices.' It is still the single largest publicly-reported dollar loss from a deployed AI/ML system in an industrial setting.

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🦅EST. 2024 · PUBLIC RECORDDEPT. OF AI WEIRDNESS
U.S. Department of
Artificial Intelligence Weirdness
Report #466← All Incidents
AI Gone WrongStartupReal EstateViral

Zillow Lets an AI Decide What Homes Are Worth. Algorithm Overpays for Thousands of Houses in Hot Markets. $881M Writedown, 25% Layoff, 'Zillow Offers' Shut Down. CEO: 'We Can't Forecast Home Prices.'

Filed by @ibuyer_lossTool: Zillow Offers[original source ↗]
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In late 2021, Zillow's 'Offers' arm — which used machine-learning 'Zestimates' to iBuy homes sight-unseen at algorithmically-set prices — had accumulated thousands of houses it had overpaid for as the model failed to keep up with a whipsawing pandemic real-estate market. On November 2, 2021, CEO Rich Barton shuttered the entire iBuying program, announced a $881 million inventory writedown, and laid off 25% of Zillow's workforce. Internal docs later showed Zillow was losing an average of $25,000 per flipped home. Barton's memo admitted 'we've been unable to accurately forecast future home prices.' It is still the single largest publicly-reported dollar loss from a deployed AI/ML system in an industrial setting.

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8/10 — Significantly weird
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